Labor Dynamics Institute

Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, comments on the likelihood of certain government reports ever being published, given the lack of data collected during the current government shutdown.

“If policymakers build systems around data that can vanish overnight, that’s a real vulnerability for economic governance,” said Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, commenting on the Federal Reserve’s need for reliable data when setting the benchmark interest rate.

Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, says time is running out for the government to publish the October Consumer Price Index report.

Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, comments on the likelihood of the bureau releasing inflation data for October.

Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and research fellow at the Upjohn Institute for Employment Research, discusses a recent Gallup study about job quality.

Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, describes the difficulties of preparing the bureau’s data during the federal shutdown.

“This is when the data are most consequential,” said Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, analyzing the importance of recent federal data in the calculation of the 2026 Consumer Price Index.

“They cannot go back to the past, so they will impute more,” says Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, about how staff recalled to the bureau will calculate the 2026 Consumer Price Index in the absence of data from October.

Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, provides expertise on how to use private data in the absence of a current federal jobs report.

In this article about how the 2026 Consumer Price Index will be calculated, information about the data used in that calculation is shared by Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner.

Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, comments on the effect of missing data due to the federal government shutdown.

Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, discusses what the bureau can and cannot do when the federal government is shut down, and what that may mean for the publication of the 2026 cost-of-living adjustment announcement and for decision-making by the Federal Reserve.

Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, comments on how the bureau’s missing report affects analysis about a possible recession: “to have [the data] be of lower quality or just unavailable, will make these decisions all that much more difficult,” she said.

“Without today’s jobs report and next week’s scheduled inflation release … the Federal Reserve, US treasury, financial markets, businesses and households will be flying blind,” said Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, analyzing the absence of today’s jobs report.

“It’s a bad time to be missing data,” said Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, about the absence of today’s jobs report from the bureau, due to the federal government shutdown.

This article includes information from a paper written by Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, about who uses the bureau’s statistics and for what purpose.

Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, comments on the effect of the government shutdown on the release of the bureau’s monthly jobs report and discusses other timely details relating to the bureau.

The presidents next pick “needs to be up to a difficult job,” said Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, about who will be nominated as the next commissioner of the bureau now that the nomination of EJ Antoni has been withdrawn.

“It’s another obstacle being thrown in their path,” said Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, about the potential impact of a federal government shutdown on the bureau’s efforts to hire new staff.

Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, comments on the possible impact of a federal shutdown on Friday’s jobs report and on the bureau generally.

Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, provides analysis and expert commentary on a variety of issues related to recent events at the bureau and the federal reserve.

On this podcast episode, Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, discusses the why and how of jobs report revisions by the bureau and the reliability of the data.

Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor, comments on the possible meaning of wages growing more for job-stayers than job switchers.

On this video, Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, discusses several topics related to the bureau, including budget and staffing, what might happen if someone tried to alter the data to support political ends, and the importance of reliable government statistical data.

Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, noted that when business are contacted by government surveyors, they increasingly ask their lawyers whether to answer.

Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, contributed analysis on economic data during market coverage.

Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, commented on a possible reason why the bureau’s preliminary revision to its annual jobs data is the largest on record.

Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, commented on staffing and funding issues behind the bureau’s largest ever preliminary revision to its annual jobs data.

Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, explained the benchmarking process and its importance for more accurate employment statistics.

Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, speaks about the bureau and its August jobs report, the importance of the federal statistics ecosystem, and what questions she would ask in a Senate confirmation hearing for a future commissioner of the bureau.