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Labor Dynamics Institute

U.S. data quality has been declining for years. Now Trump’s cutbacks are leading economists to question its figures

Fortune
Erica Groshen, former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner and now senior economics advisor at the ILR School, says Trump’s latest cuts compound years of reductions and political pressure that have hampered the agency. Since 2009, the agency’s budget has dropped about 20% in real terms, she notes.
U.S. data quality has been declining for years. Now Trump’s cutbacks are leading economists to question its figures

Trump cuts threaten jobs, inflation data collection

Axios
Cuts at the Bureau of Labor Statistics have reduced resources available for keeping response rates up and caused the agency to reduce the “granularity” of some of its programs, said Erica Groshen, former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner and now senior economics advisor at the ILR School.
Trump cuts threaten jobs, inflation data collection

Big trouble in Labor data

Politico
Erica Groshen, senior labor market advisor at ILR, provides analysis on why the Bureau of Labor Statistics may be issuing multiple revisions of its data.
Big trouble in Labor data

Tariffs expected to lift underlying US consumer prices in May

Reuters
Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor, commented on the Consumer Price Index following layoffs at the Bureau of Labor Statistics, saying “at a national level, the standard errors aren’t really affected very much, and the reliability is still good, but it’s really disaggregated at the granular level.”
Tariffs expected to lift underlying US consumer prices in May

Inflation data threatened by government hiring freeze as tariffs loom

AP News
Erica Groshen says the drop in staff and potential for cuts in funding could also threaten lesser-known economic measures, such as an index that tracks import prices, as well as a report that measures job openings.
Inflation data threatened by government hiring freeze as tariffs loom

Where are Trump tariffs on the Laffer Curve? Ask Arthur Laffer

Politico
This piece references a recent op-ed in Science by ILR’s Erica Groshen.
Where are Trump tariffs on the Laffer Curve? Ask Arthur Laffer

Fixing the US statistical infrastructure

Science
In this editorial, Erica Groshen writes that a bold effort is needed to modernize and coordinate the U.S. federal statistical system.
Fixing the US statistical infrastructure

Trump wants to create manufacturing jobs. His tech allies invest in robots to do the work.

ABC News
“Automation is something we’ve seen for a long time,” said Philipp Kircher. “Whether it’s the companies that currently support the U.S. president or not, somebody would be doing this innovation, maybe slightly slower.”
Trump wants to create manufacturing jobs. His tech allies invest in robots to do the work.

BLS Ends Some PPI Data Collection. It Isn’t Expected to Affect Inflation Calculations.

Barron's
The biggest drivers of the proposed cuts are declining response rates and chronic underfunding of the agency, said ILR’s Erica Groshen
BLS Ends Some PPI Data Collection. It Isn’t Expected to Affect Inflation Calculations.

Cooking the books? Fears Trump could target statisticians if data disappoints

The Guardian
“There are a number of changes to the civil service that make it much easier for the administration to try to interfere with the activities of the statistical agencies and that worries me,” says Erica Groshen, senior labor market advisor at ILR.
Cooking the books? Fears Trump could target statisticians if data disappoints

The Vital Importance of Good Economic Statistics

EconoFact
Erica Groshen joins EconoFact Chats to discuss the history and the role of the BLS, the importance of good data for decision-making by government, businesses, and families, and her concerns about political interference degrading the integrity of government statistics.
The Vital Importance of Good Economic Statistics

How the BLS and its data could be affected by a proposed Trump rule

Marketplace
Erica Groshen, senior labor market advisor at ILR, discusses the reliability of data supplied by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
How the BLS and its data could be affected by a proposed Trump rule

Five Faculty Members Honored

Professors Emeritus John M. Abowd, Ronald G. Ehrenberg, Tove Helland Hammer, Robert Hutchens and William J. Sonnenstuhl were lauded at a retirement celebration Monday.
Faculty wing of ILR's Ives Hall
Five Faculty Members Honored

Census Bureau's use of 'synthetic data' worries researchers

AP News
Lars Vilhuber, senior research associate at the ILR Labor Dynamics Institute, says that the use of synthetic data allows researchers to get details about people at really small geographic levels, such as neighborhood blocks, because the data protects privacy.
Census Bureau's use of 'synthetic data' worries researchers

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