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Labor Dynamics Institute

The U.S. Needs Better Data. Why We Fell Behind and How We Can Catch Up.

Barron's
“We happen to have an administration which is less worried about doing things that are disruptive, so this is an opportunity,” said Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, commenting on a possible opportunity to centralize statistics-related government agencies.
The U.S. Needs Better Data. Why We Fell Behind and How We Can Catch Up.

Economic data is back following government reopening - here are the key events this week

Economic Times
Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, notes potential gaps in the bureau’s data in the aftermath of the government shutdown.
Economic data is back following government reopening - here are the key events this week

US economic outlook obscured by shutdown-triggered data gap

Financial Times
Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, comments on how the bureau may prioritize reporting now that the federal government shutdown has ended.
US economic outlook obscured by shutdown-triggered data gap

Butchered jobs and inflation data add fuel to the fire of uncertainty already blazing in the markets

Fortune
Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor, advised against using just one company’s sales data to evaluate inflation, underscoring the challenges facing policymakers and investors.
Butchered jobs and inflation data add fuel to the fire of uncertainty already blazing in the markets

Stubborn inflation, government shutdown upends confidence in another Fed rate cut

WJLA - ABC 7
Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, discusses how easy it may be for the bureau to recover data that is missing due to the recent government shutdown.
Stubborn inflation, government shutdown upends confidence in another Fed rate cut

Government Reopens Without Data That Guides Markets and the Fed

The New York Times
Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, reflects on the effect of the government shutdown on the bureau’s data collection and reporting.
Government Reopens Without Data That Guides Markets and the Fed

The government is back open. Here’s what that means for economic data

CNN
Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, comments on how the bureau may deal with certain missing data now that the government shutdown is over.
The government is back open. Here’s what that means for economic data

What to expect with missing economic data as government shutdown ends

Washington Examiner
Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, discusses how the bureau may prioritize releasing reports now that the government shutdown is over and how it might collect missing data.
What to expect with missing economic data as government shutdown ends

How will the BLS prioritize the new economic data it releases?

Marketplace
Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, describes staffing challenges at the bureau as it re-opens after the government shutdown and which reports the bureau is likely to prioritize.
How will the BLS prioritize the new economic data it releases?

US Labor Department urged to prioritize November employment, CPI data post-shutdown

Reuters
Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, is mentioned as co-chair of the Friends of the BLS in an article with comments from the Friends of the BLS about issues at the bureau related to the recent government shutdown.
US Labor Department urged to prioritize November employment, CPI data post-shutdown

Reopening government could avert recession, but risks remain, economists say

ABC News
“There’s a benefit to us having this very large U.S. employer now paying its workers again. That’s going to help,” said Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor, commenting on the economic implications of the government shutdown and the impact of reopening federal agencies.
Reopening government could avert recession, but risks remain, economists say

State Street buys private-sector inflation data provider

Yahoo! Finance
Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, was quoted in this article about the acquisition of PriceStats, a for-profit gatherer of inflation statistics.
State Street buys private-sector inflation data provider

‘Yikes’: Top investment bank looks under the hood of the economy and finds ‘the labor market doesn’t look that good’

Fortune
Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, is quoted about the lack of economic data collection during the government shutdown.
‘Yikes’: Top investment bank looks under the hood of the economy and finds ‘the labor market doesn’t look that good’

With government jobs report delayed, what other data reveals about the economy

PBS
Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, shares the bureau’s definition of employment and describes how the bureau gathers unemployment data.
With government jobs report delayed, what other data reveals about the economy

US employment report will not be published again as government shutdown drags on

Reuters
Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, comments on the likelihood of certain government reports ever being published, given the lack of data collected during the current government shutdown.
US employment report will not be published again as government shutdown drags on

Powell cuts rates in the dark in historic move, with no jobs data and Trump heckling from abroad

Fortune
“If policymakers build systems around data that can vanish overnight, that’s a real vulnerability for economic governance,” said Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, commenting on the Federal Reserve’s need for reliable data when setting the benchmark interest rate.
Powell cuts rates in the dark in historic move, with no jobs data and Trump heckling from abroad

US consumer inflation cools in September; government shutdown threatens next report

Reuters
Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, says time is running out for the government to publish the October Consumer Price Index report.
US consumer inflation cools in September; government shutdown threatens next report

White House says October inflation data unlikely to be released next month

Reuters
Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, comments on the likelihood of the bureau releasing inflation data for October.
White House says October inflation data unlikely to be released next month

Landmark Gallup Study Shows Less Than Half of U.S. Workers Have A Quality Job

Yahoo! Finance
Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and research fellow at the Upjohn Institute for Employment Research, discusses a recent Gallup study about job quality.
Landmark Gallup Study Shows Less Than Half of U.S. Workers Have A Quality Job

The government shutdown could throw a wrench into the Fed's next meeting

Quartz
Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, describes the difficulties of preparing the bureau’s data during the federal shutdown.
The government shutdown could throw a wrench into the Fed's next meeting

Mark Your Calendars: Here's When Social Security Will Announce the 2026 COLA

Money
“This is when the data are most consequential,” said Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, analyzing the importance of recent federal data in the calculation of the 2026 Consumer Price Index.
Mark Your Calendars: Here's When Social Security Will Announce the 2026 COLA

US Shutdown Threatens to Erode Quality of Important Inflation Data

Bloomberg
“They cannot go back to the past, so they will impute more,” says Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, about how staff recalled to the bureau will calculate the 2026 Consumer Price Index in the absence of data from October.
US Shutdown Threatens to Erode Quality of Important Inflation Data

What to do without a jobs report

Quartz
Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, provides expertise on how to use private data in the absence of a current federal jobs report.
What to do without a jobs report

The BLS is prepping a delayed inflation report

Axios
In this article about how the 2026 Consumer Price Index will be calculated, information about the data used in that calculation is shared by Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner.
The BLS is prepping a delayed inflation report

Missing Data Leaves Economy ‘Flying Blind’

US News and World Report
Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, comments on the effect of missing data due to the federal government shutdown.
Missing Data Leaves Economy ‘Flying Blind’

Could the Government Shutdown Delay the Social Security COLA?

Money
Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, discusses what the bureau can and cannot do when the federal government is shut down, and what that may mean for the publication of the 2026 cost-of-living adjustment announcement and for decision-making by the Federal Reserve.
Could the Government Shutdown Delay the Social Security COLA?

US delays key jobs report due to government shutdown

France 24
Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, comments on how the bureau’s missing report affects analysis about a possible recession: “to have [the data] be of lower quality or just unavailable, will make these decisions all that much more difficult,” she said.
US delays key jobs report due to government shutdown

US ‘flying blind’ at critical moment for economy, experts warn, with no jobs data amid shutdown

The Guardian
“Without today’s jobs report and next week’s scheduled inflation release … the Federal Reserve, US treasury, financial markets, businesses and households will be flying blind,” said Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, analyzing the absence of today’s jobs report.
US ‘flying blind’ at critical moment for economy, experts warn, with no jobs data amid shutdown

Shutdown delays jobs report, obscuring potential economic problems

The Washington Post
“It’s a bad time to be missing data,” said Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, about the absence of today’s jobs report from the bureau, due to the federal government shutdown.
Shutdown delays jobs report, obscuring potential economic problems

The status of U.S. labor market data amid the government shutdown

Washington Center for Equitable Growth
This article includes information from a paper written by Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, about who uses the bureau’s statistics and for what purpose.
The status of U.S. labor market data amid the government shutdown

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