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Labor Dynamics Institute
U.S. data quality has been declining for years. Now Trump’s cutbacks are leading economists to question its figures
Fortune
Erica Groshen, former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner and now senior economics advisor at the ILR School, says Trump’s latest cuts compound years of reductions and political pressure that have hampered the agency. Since 2009, the agency’s budget has dropped about 20% in real terms, she notes.
Trump cuts threaten jobs, inflation data collection
Axios
Cuts at the Bureau of Labor Statistics have reduced resources available for keeping response rates up and caused the agency to reduce the “granularity” of some of its programs, said Erica Groshen, former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner and now senior economics advisor at the ILR School.
Erica Groshen, senior labor market advisor at ILR, provides analysis on why the Bureau of Labor Statistics may be issuing multiple revisions of its data.
Tariffs expected to lift underlying US consumer prices in May
Reuters
Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor, commented on the Consumer Price Index following layoffs at the Bureau of Labor Statistics, saying “at a national level, the standard errors aren’t really affected very much, and the reliability is still good, but it’s really disaggregated at the granular level.”
Inflation data threatened by government hiring freeze as tariffs loom
AP News
Erica Groshen says the drop in staff and potential for cuts in funding could also threaten lesser-known economic measures, such as an index that tracks import prices, as well as a report that measures job openings.
Trump wants to create manufacturing jobs. His tech allies invest in robots to do the work.
ABC News
“Automation is something we’ve seen for a long time,” said Philipp Kircher. “Whether it’s the companies that currently support the U.S. president or not, somebody would be doing this innovation, maybe slightly slower.”
Cooking the books? Fears Trump could target statisticians if data disappoints
The Guardian
“There are a number of changes to the civil service that make it much easier for the administration to try to interfere with the activities of the statistical agencies and that worries me,” says Erica Groshen, senior labor market advisor at ILR.
Erica Groshen joins EconoFact Chats to discuss the history and the role of the BLS, the importance of good data for decision-making by government, businesses, and families, and her concerns about political interference degrading the integrity of government statistics.
Professors Emeritus John M. Abowd, Ronald G. Ehrenberg, Tove Helland Hammer, Robert Hutchens and William J. Sonnenstuhl were lauded at a retirement celebration Monday.
Census Bureau's use of 'synthetic data' worries researchers
AP News
Lars Vilhuber, senior research associate at the ILR Labor Dynamics Institute, says that the use of synthetic data allows researchers to get details about people at really small geographic levels, such as neighborhood blocks, because the data protects privacy.